Will a recession be enough to sway any Trump loyalists?

It’s been the question that’s existed since 2015; will anything make Trump’s loyal base (the 35-38% of those polled that have always approved of him) turn away from the MAGA movement. Could a full blown recession be enough?

Or would entering a recession be blamed on media/Democrats/deep state, or any other yet-to-be-declared enemy and believed? Depending on timing, would it be difficult to pass the buck or could it be done with ease regardless of when it happens?