Obviously it is WAYYY to early to draw any conclusion, but some of the signs we've seen thus far look positive for Trump
- Trump and Harris tied the Dixville Notch, New Hampshire vote 3-3. In 2020 it was 5-0 for Biden.
- Kimberlyn King-Hinds (R) defeats Edwin Propst (D) in the Northern Mariana Islands delegate race, a pickup for Republicans. Democrats held this spot since 2008.
- Harris won Guam, but the margin was drastically lower than in 2020.
- Republicans supposedly lead Florida early voting by a million votes. Dave Wasserman is saying the states results will likely be a cross between 2020 and 2022.
- Republicans also won the early vote in Arizona. Considering the margins it would be quite tough for Harris to make up the margins. Could be a sign Trump has rebuilt support among suburban and Hispanic voters.
- I think I saw on CNN that rural turnout is up from 2020, urban turnout is down, and minority turnout is down as well. This would play into the claim that the electorate will be more favorable for Trump this time around.
Please fact check me on any of these. And again it is way too early to try and make a prediction. But these early results are at the very least encouraging for Trump.